Cosmic Market Intel
This Week's Sky
Moon Phase: Waxing Crescent in Gemini. The seed phase. In the CCE, waxing crescents have shown a slight positive bias for BTC over 404 observations (+1.62% avg 7-day forward return vs. the +1.37% baseline). The Moon enters Cancer midweek, then Leo by the weekend, shifting from information-gathering to emotional processing to action.
The Saturn-Neptune Conjunction (0.31° orb): This is the defining aspect of the week and, arguably, of 2026. Saturn and Neptune meet at Aries 0-1° for the first time in 36 years. The last Saturn-Neptune conjunction (1989, Capricorn) coincided with the fall of the Berlin Wall and a global restructuring. In market terms, this aspect dissolves old structures and demands new ones. It is volatility in gestation.
Jupiter Retrograde in Cancer (15°26'): Jupiter has been retrograde since mid-January. The CCE has tracked 1,062 BTC trading days under Jupiter Rx and the results are counterintuitive: average 7-day returns of +2.00% versus +1.08% during direct motion. This is not expansion energy; it is re-evaluation energy that historically precedes larger moves.
Mars Square Uranus (2.45° orb): The volatility catalyst. Mars in Aquarius squaring Uranus in Taurus is textbook disruption energy. When the CCE flags Mars-square-Saturn conditions (the closest proxy), BTC shows a negative 7-day mean of -0.52% and a negative 14-day mean of -1.70%. The short-term is choppy; the 30-day recovers to +6.68%. Expect sudden moves.
Venus Trine Jupiter (2.16° orb): The counterweight. This is the most classically bullish aspect in traditional financial astrology. Across 54 BTC observations with this aspect active, the 30-day return averages +12.64%, nearly double the baseline of +6.63%. It does not cancel Mars-Uranus, but it provides a floor.
What The Data Says
The CCE processes 25,325 data points across 10 assets (BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, HBAR, SPY, QQQ, VIX, GLD, DXY) from January 2017 through February 2026, correlating 43 planetary features with forward returns at 1, 7, 14, 21, and 30-day horizons.
This week's planetary configuration is uncommon. The overlap of Jupiter Retrograde + Sun in Pisces narrows our sample to 41 BTC days and 11 ETH days. The signal is clear:
| Condition | Asset | n | 7d Avg | 14d Avg | 30d Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jupiter Rx + Pisces Sun | BTC | 41 | -1.78% | -6.60% | -5.23% |
| Jupiter Rx + Pisces Sun | ETH | 11 | -14.01% | -29.81% | -19.93% |
| Jupiter Rx (all) | BTC | 1,062 | +2.00% | +4.19% | +9.47% |
| Pisces Sun (all) | BTC | 270 | +0.21% | +0.27% | +3.46% |
| Pisces Sun (all) | ETH | 240 | -2.45% | -3.86% | -1.32% |
| Venus Trine Jupiter | BTC | 54 | +1.20% | +1.71% | +12.64% |
| Mars Sq. Saturn | BTC | 102 | -0.52% | -1.70% | +6.68% |
| Baseline (All) | BTC | 3,334 | +1.37% | +2.86% | +6.63% |
| Baseline (All) | ETH | 3,022 | +1.19% | +2.48% | +5.74% |
Key takeaway: Jupiter Rx alone is historically bullish. Pisces Sun alone is a drag, especially on ETH. When combined, the Pisces season drag dominates the Jupiter Rx uplift, flipping the signal negative. The Venus-Jupiter trine offers late-month recovery potential, but the first half of this week leans cautious.
The Signal
The CCE composite signal for the week of Feb 24 reads cautious bearish on a 7-to-14-day horizon, tilting toward recovery at the 30-day mark.
The primary drag comes from the Jupiter Rx + Pisces Sun combination, which historically prints negative across both BTC (-1.78% / 7d, -6.60% / 14d) and ETH (-14.01% / 7d). This is not a crash signal; it is a stagnation-to-correction signal. The average drawdown is moderate, not catastrophic.
Counterbalancing forces: Venus trine Jupiter provides a floor of optimism, and the Saturn-Neptune conjunction at 0° Aries introduces structural reset energy that, in past analogs, has preceded major trend changes. The question is not whether a move is coming but whether this week is the setup or the move itself. The data says: setup.
Lean: Reduce risk exposure early in the week. Watch for a reversal window around Feb 26-27 as the Moon enters Cancer and trines Jupiter. Do not chase breakdowns; the 30-day outlook recovers.
Key Dates This Week
Saturn and Neptune are within 0.31° of exact conjunction at Aries 0-1°. This degree is the Aries Point, one of the most publicly sensitive degrees in the zodiac. Events here tend to become collective. In the CCE, high aspect density periods show muted 7-day returns (+0.00% for BTC) but elevated volatility. Watch for narrative-shifting news in crypto regulation or macro policy.
The Moon moves from Gemini (information noise) into Cancer (Jupiter's exaltation sign), forming a trine to retrograde Jupiter. This is the week's most favorable micro-window. If a short-term reversal is going to form, this is where. The waxing crescent in a water sign aligned with Jupiter has a subtle bullish bias in the CCE: +1.62% average 7-day return versus +1.37% baseline.
Mars at 25° Aquarius squares Uranus at 27° Taurus, tightening toward exact. This aspect has a 102-observation BTC sample in the CCE showing -0.52% on 7-day forward and -1.70% on 14-day forward. This is the volatility spike window. Expect rapid, unexpected price moves. Flash crashes or flash rallies. Not a day to be overleveraged in either direction.